THE IMPERATIVE FOR COMMODITY-BASED INTERMODAL FREIGHT TRANSPORT DEMAND MODELLING: A SOUTH AFRICAN CASE STUDY

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Jan Hendrik Havenga ORCID logo, Zane P. Simpson, Anneke de Bod

https://doi.org/10.22495/cocv12i1c1p7

Abstract

Container forecasting typically focuses on its intermodal nature, container sizes and port container terminals. This leads to a commodity-blind approach to container forecasting, where the twenty-foot-equivalent is the forecasting output. The standardized unit is also increasing into many non-standard forms, indicated by the three main container market segments. This research deconstructs these segments and provides methodological and actual commodity-based container forecasting results for South Africa where intermodal solutions are still in its infancy and investments need to be made based on accurate forecasting.

Keywords: Container Market, Intermodal Solutions, Forecasting, South Africa

How to cite this paper: Havenga, J. H., & Simpson, Z. P., & de Bod, A. (2014). The imperative for commodity-based intermodal freight transport demand modelling: a South African case study. Corporate Ownership & Control, 12(1-1), 193-202. https://doi.org/10.22495/cocv12i1c1p7