MARKET TIMING OF EQUITY FUNDS IN BRAZIL

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Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyze the market timing capability of equity fund managers in Brazil. The active management and market timing ability of equity funds are very important to generate consistent positive returns, especially in the current volatile scenario in Brazil. We study 130 equity funds with active management using an alternative methodology for testing market timing. We use an alternative measure of market timing, based on the portfolio held by funds ("holding-based measure") in order to avoid the biases observed in the measurement of observed returns ("return-based measure"). For the period from 2006 to 2013, we find that most equity funds generally had no statistically significant market timing ability. Interestingly, the few funds that had significant market timing ability invested in companies with good governance practices. Moreover, for the funds that had timing ability, managers were based only on publicly available information to predict the market movement. We also provide evidence that market timing ability was significantly different before and after the global financial crisis.

Keywords: Market Timing, Equity Funds, Corporate Governance, Business Cycles

Received: 21.03.2017

Accepted: 29.05.2017

How to cite this paper: Ferreira, R., & Carvalhal, A. (2017). Market timing of equity funds in Brazil. Corporate Ownership & Control, 15(1-1), 193-198. https://doi.org/10.22495/cocv15i1c1p3